The waiting is over: the 2024 Summer Olympic games in Paris are underway. This preview won't get everything right. It may not get anything right. Hopefully though, it will set the scene for Ireland's medal chances as 133 athletes take part in 74 events in 15 sports. For the first time ever, Ireland has legitimate medal chances in the three most watched Olympic sports; athletics, swimming, and artistic gymnastics. We’ll take them in alphabetical order.
Athletics
400m – Rhasidat Adeleke, Sharlene Mawdsley, Sophie Becker
In the history of the Olympic Games, Ireland has only ever had 4 women run in the 400m before Paris. It’s a mark of where Irish 400m running stands that one of those – Phil Healy – is back in Paris but only for the relays. The athletics competitions have a new format for 2024, with “fastest losers” or the more PC “fastest non-automatic qualifiers” being removed. It’s now all about placing in each round. If you don’t finish top 3-5 (depending on event), you must run a repechage round. The top 2-3 there qualify for semis. Then we have straight racing again.
Becker is one of the lower ranked runners and is unlikely to make the semifinals. Mawdsley may make the semis (she’s ranked 22nd) but she won’t make a final. Adeleke will expect to win her heat and qualify comfortably for the final. When she gets there, she’ll meet 3 women who have run faster than her this year and the recently returned from a drugs ban, former world champion representing Bahrain. That makes 5 women who all think they can win medals. With Marileidy Paulinho being favourite and Nickisha Pryce being second fastest in the world, it looks like a race for bronze between Adeleke, Natalia Kaczmarek (who beat Adeleke at the European Champs) and Salwa Eid Naser. Let’s hope the young Tallaght women can make the podium.
1,500m – Ciara Mageean, Sarah Healy, Sophie O’Sullivan
A fourth place in last year’s World Championships followed by gold in the European Championships earlier this year have Mageean as medal contender, but the 1,500m is extremely deep and her form since Rome have many wondering if she’ll even make the final. She’s clearly a class athlete, but even at her peak form, this 1,500m field might be the deepest ever and if she reaches the final, she’ll be part of maybe the best field in history. Healy could sneak into the final as on her day, she can race with the best, but her inconsistency means she may not get past the repechage round. O’Sullivan hasn’t got close to the form she had at last year’s world championships but, like all athletes, she’s likely to be peaking for Paris.
5,000m - Jodie McCann
Just qualifying for the Olympics was a huge achievement for McCann.
100m hurdles – Sarah Lavin
Lavin was the first Irish runner to qualify for the Olympics but her national record from last year ranks her just inside the top 20 times for those competing. She’ll likely have to better than to make the semifinal with a final being out of reach.
Marathon – Fionnuala McCormack
Now 39, this is McCormack’s 5th Olympic Games – a record for any athlete. She placed 20th in the marathon in Rio and 25th in Tokyo. Her qualifying time from Valencia last year doesn’t suggest a result like those, but the woman from Wicklow is a history maker when she steps over the line.
Hammer – Nicola Tuthill
Another for whom qualification is an exceptional achievement. Tuthill is the youngest competitor in the hammer and may progress in future games.
Heptathlon – Kate O’Connor
After 2 injury plagued years, O’Connor’s qualification was in doubt right up until the final week. She’s an exceptionally talented athlete who could finish in the top 12 if all goes right for her.
Women’s 4x400m relay – Team
We might have 3 women qualified, and an individual medal contender, but there’s no guarantee that Ireland will qualify for the final here in the event despite our exceptional results this season. The semifinal will be raced 10 hours before the final of the individual event so hopefully we will be without Rhasidat Adeleke. Of course, other nations are likely without athletes but they also have significantly deeper squads than us and they won’t quite miss their stars as much as we’ll miss ours. In the European Championships, Ireland ran 3:24.81 without Adeleke to qualify. That time would have been 11th fastest in the Tokyo semis. Of course, if we do make it into the final, and Adeleke is on fire, we could be in a fight with GB, Netherlands, Poland and Jamaica for the podium. The USA team is one of the biggest locks of the whole games.
Mixed 4x400m relay – Team
As with the women’s team, past performances are no indications of future results. We’re still waiting on a decision from Adeleke as to whether she’ll run in this event. It’s a few days before the individual heats so we may see quite a few stars miss out. That could allow Ireland into medal contention, and we’ve reached the final in every mixed relay competition we’ve entered in the last 4 years. In Tokyo, a time of 3:10.22 won a medal. In the 2024 World Champs 3:11.98 won bronze. Our European gold time was 3:09.92. If Rhasidat Adeleke runs the final, Ireland has a medal chance. If she doesn’t, we don’t. A lot will depend on how the bigger nations treat this relay. It hasn’t been a priority in the past.
800m – Mark English
A wily old campaigner, English will compete in his 3rd Games in Paris. He made the semis in Rio and just missed repeating that feat in Tokyo. His aim will be a semifinal this year too.
1,500m – Andrew Coscoran, Luke McCann, Cathal Doyle
A full set of Irishmen in the 1,500m. Coscoran made the semis in Tokyo. He has the fastest time of the three Irishmen but doesn’t always show the best racing skills in tournaments. McCann joins his sister Jodie on the team and has improved his PB significantly this year. Doyle is perhaps the most interesting prospect. He doesn’t have the times to compete with the other two, but his racing skills and finishing kick may seem him progress.
5,000m – Brian Fay
Brian Fay may dip under 13 minutes for the 5,000m soon but it’d be a real surprise if he made it out of the heats in Paris.
Shotput – Eric Favors
The American born putter is ranked 30th of the 32 entrants so he’ll be hoping for a new national record, and the rest to have off days to make the final.
Badminton
Nhat Nguyen – Men’s
Nhat’s opening game is against Misha Zilberman of Israel. The veteran Israeli has a similar record recently to Nhat so this will be a good indicator of his form. After that he’ll play Prince Dahal of Nepal. 2 wins from 2 would be a great result for Nhat as up next is Olympic champions and number 2 seed Victor Axelsen of Denmark. Nhat has yet to beat the Dane and with only the group winners going through, it should be the end of Nhat’s Olympics.
Rachael Darragh – Women’s
Only two group games in store for Rachael. Her opener will be against former champion and number 4 see Carolina Marin of Spain. He second game is against Jenjira Stadelmann of Switzerland who won bronze at last year’s European Games. Two very tough games for the Donegal woman.
Boxing
57kg - Jude Gallagher
Two fights from a medal. The key one is his first against the silver medal winner from Tokyo, Carlo Paalam. If Gallagher can get by that tough one, he’ll face the winner of Usturoi (Belgium) and Senior (Australia). By no means an easy fight if its Ustoroi, but Gallagher is now in medal contention.
63.5kg – Dean Clancy
Clancy has to win 3 fights for a medal. His opener is against Jordan’s Al-Kasbeh is a 50/50 shot and if he progresses, he’ll fight the 3 time world champion Sofiane Oumiha of France. Oumiha beat Clancy in the semis of last year’s European Games. On the upside, if he pulls the upset win, he’ll be favourite in the quarter finals. A tough draw for Clancy.
71kg – Aidan Walsh
Walsh couldn’t have asked for a tougher draw as he hopes to repeat his medal win from Tokyo. He’ll fight home favourite Traore in the opener. A win there sees him face Nikolai Terteryan – the European Games champion from Denmark. If he reaches the quarter final, he’ll likely face the World Champion Asadkhuja Muydinkhujaev of Uzbekistan.
92kg – Jack Marley
A fair but tough draw for Dubliner Marley. He’ll face the hard-hitting Bereźnicki of Poland in the last 16 and a win there will likely see him face the Asian games champion Boltaev of Tajikistan. He’s avoided the really big names but it’s still a tough ask to medal here.
50kg – Daina Moorhouse
Her opening bout is in the last 16 against France’s Wassila Lkhadiri. Lkhadiri beat Moorhouse in a very tight split decision in the European Games, so the young Irishwoman will be out for revenge. It’s always difficult facing an opponent on homme ground, but if Moorhouse manages it, she’ll be favourite to win her quarter final and win a medal.
54kg – Jennifer Lehane
Lehane is also two wins from a medal. Her opening bout is against China’s Chang Yuan and Lehane has little to fear there. The quarter-final will be against top-seeded Petrova of Bulgaria or the current world champion Huang Hsiao-wen from Taiwain. She won bronze in Tokyo. It would be an upset if Lehane won, but she’s capable.
57kg – Michaela Walsh
Only two fights from a medal for Walsh but they’re two very tough fights. The opener is against the European champion from Bulgaria, and if she progresses, she’ll face the top seed from Taiwan – a multiple world champion. All three of these lost in the last 16 in Tokyo, and all 3 fancied themselves for medals. One of them will win a medal in Paris. We hope its Walsh but fear she may come up short again.
60kg – Kellie Harrington
Our reigning Olympic champion won’t have an easy time in Paris. An awkward opener against Italian or Turkish opposition could be followed by a quarter final against the World silver medallist from Colombia, Angie Valdes. The only woman who beat Valdes in the last 3 years is Brazil’s Beatriz Ferreira. Harrington beat Ferreira in the final in Tokyo and they’d seeded to face each other in the semifinal here. We think Kellie can win another medal, but the colour remains to be seen.
66kg – Grainne Walsh
She may have taken the long way to get here, but Walsh has received a very fair draw. She should beat Hungary’s Hamori before beating Australia’s Williamson setting up a quarter final bout with Algeria’s Khelif. The Algerian was beaten by Harrington in Tokyo but has excelled at the higher weight since, but Walsh is definitely in medal contention now. She just needs one marquee win.
75kg – Aoife O’Rourke
A very familiar opponent for the Roscommon woman to open with as she’ll face Poland’s Wójcik as she always seems to do. The Irishwoman has beaten the Pole in 3 European finals, albeit in very close calls. Next up is one of two veterans from Panama or Kazakhstan. They’ve both won global medals but we’re predicting a medal for Aoife here.
Canoeing
K1 Slalom – Robert Hendrick, C1 Slalom – Liam Jegou
Hendrick and Jegou could make a final, but the semis are more achievable.
K1 Slalom – Michaela Corcoran, C1 Slalom – Madison Corcoran
The twins are novices on the international scene so their achievement was qualifying.
Kayak Cross – all four team members
The Kayak Cross will be a great event to watch but we shouldn’t expect much progression for the Irish paddlers
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Cycling
Men’s road race – Ben Healy, Ryan Mullen
Healy is designated team leader so Mullen will ride in support. Healy is very much suited to this course and his best path to a medal might be driving on a strong break of 3 riders. Due to the nature of the men’s road race – small teams, no radios – anything can happen in these events. Healy needs luck, but he wouldn’t be a shock medal winner but that applies to at least 20 cyclists on the start line.
Women’s road race – Megan Armitage
Armitage is only the second Irishwoman to compete on the roads. She’s the only one on a professional team and only illness stopped her from competing at the recent Giro D’Italia. She won’t be expecting a medal, but on a hilly course she can stay with the best for most of the day.
Men’s individual time trial – Ryan Mullen
Mullen has been a terrific servant to Irish cycling, being almost ever-present at the World Championships. It’s great that he gets to have a run in the Olympics. He could finish in the top 15.
Women’s team pursuit – Lara Gillespie, Alice Sharpe, Kelly Murphy and Mia Griffin
The women’s pursuit team are ranked 9th of 10 times but they’ve finished ahead of most of the teams ahead of them at one stage. Top 8 in the qualifier gets them a second run. As you’d expect, we’re the only nation to qualify without a velodrome.
Women’s madison – Sharpe, Gillespie
This pairing doesn’t have many outings in the madison but Gillespie is a quality rider and Sharpe is a very decent sprinter too. We could see a top 10 finish.
Women’s omnium – Lara Gillespie
Gillespie is one of the brightest prospects in Irish sport. She just missed a medal at the European championships this year and she’s showed terrific form on the road this year. Last she year she dominated the European under 23 omnium ahead of a very strong field. She won’t be a medal favourite here, but she has all the skills needed to do so. If she can make it into the top 5 of the elimination race, she’ll absolutely be in medal contention.
Diving
10m platform – Ciara McGing
One of the final Irish Olympians to qualify, McGing will need the performance of her life to make the semifinal.
3m platform – Jake Passmore
The former world junior medal winner was 17th at the 2024 World Champs. He’d love to repeat that performance and reach the semifinal here.
Equestrian
Showjumping – Cian O’Connor, Daniel Coyle, Shane Sweetnam
In the team event, Ireland finished 4th in the world in 2022 and 2nd in Europe last year. Coyle and Sweetnam are both ranked in the world’s top 12 and O’Connor is a proven big event performer with Olympic and European individual medals. Of course, in showjumping it’s all about the horses so achievements on previous events with different combinations can have little relevance to our chances in Paris.
Coyle with his horse Legacy have won 2 world cup events this year and in 6 nations cup events, they have had 2 fences down. It’s O’Connor’s first year with Maurice – purchased specifically for the Olympics – and they’re yet to have a fence down in 3 nations cup rounds. Sweetnam has ridden James Kann Cruz in the two biggest nations cup events in Europe this year in Rome and Aachan and didn’t have a single fault in 4 rounds. So Ireland should be considered a medal favourite in the team event, and in the individual event too. There’s very little room for error in showjumping now with no discard score but if our boys perform on the day, we’ll be right in the hunt.
Eventing – Susie Berry, Austin O’Connor, Sarah Ennis
The eventing team isn’t packed with the same star power of the showjumping team and the mounts of Berry and Ennis have had limited enough success on the international scene. Colorado Blue and O’Connor were third in Badminton last year and followed it up with a win in the 5-star event in Maryland (USA) in October. Traditionally we have excelled in the cross-country phase of eventing, and that sometimes isn’t a priority in the Olympics with the difficulty dropped to allow for less traditional countries to compete. We’ve finished top 8th in the team event for the last 5 Olympics and should do similar. We may need others to crash out to be in with a shout of a medal and with no discard scores, that may happen. O’Connor was 13th in Tokyo and if he can have a competitive dressage score, he may contend for individual honours.
Golf
Individual events - Rory McIlroy, Shane Lowry, Leona Maguire and Stephanie Meadow
We’re lumping these together because you all know how golf works. McIlroy and Lowry go into every tournament thinking they can win it. Maguire can hit a hot streak like few others. Even Meadows has been top 3 in a major. Let’s hope they all have a bit of luck over their four rounds and we get a medal in the relatively new Olympic sport.
Gymnastics
Pommel horse apparatus - Rhys McClenaghan
McClenaghan is back-to-back World and European Champion. He’s absolutely a gold medal candidate, but as we witnessed in Tokyo, the pommel horse is the cruellest of all gymnastics apparatus. His biggest rivals will be Max Whitlock (GB – Olympic champion), Nariman Kurbanov (Kazakhstan – world cup winner and highest scoring routine this year), Ahmad Abu Al Soud (Jordan – medallist at last two worlds), Stephen Nedoroscik (USA – 2021 world champion) and Hur Woong (Korea). That’s a lot of men who believe they can become Olympic champion, but Rhys knows if he hits his routine perfectly, he’ll win a medal.
Hockey
Men’s team
Ireland are the lowest ranked team in their pool, so progression would be a huge achievement. A win, any win, would be terrific. In this season’s Pro League (the highest level in the game) Ireland suffered some heavy defeats but did manage 2 wins against Belgium – our first opponents in Paris.
Rowing
Men’s Lightweight doubles – Paul O’Donovan & Fintan McCarthy
O’Donovan will look to cement his legacy as Ireland’s greatest Olympian with another gold medal-winning regatta with McCarthy. The reigning champs followed their win in Tokyo by winning the World Championships in 2022 and 2023. They’re unbeaten at the global level in 5 years. However, 2024 has been difficult. An injury to McCarthy meant that they only raced together once this year, and it didn’t go to plan. In World Cup II, the Irish double were beaten by Switzerland, and in the final, they trailed both the Swiss and winners Italy. Those three filled the podium at the 2023 World Championships and look set to repeat that podium in Paris.
The colours remain to be decided though. The Swiss are young and improving with the Italians more established at this level. If O’Donovan and McCarthy hit their peak, they’ll win gold, but it isn’t as forgone a conclusion as their win in Tokyo was. The Irish crew are seeded third for what that’s worth.
Women’s Lightweight doubles – Aoife Casey, Mags Cremen
The 2022 World Championship medal winners are one of 8 crews who believe they can win a medal in Paris. At last year’s world championships they finished 7th, but to illustrate how competitive the division is, the Olympic champions from Italy failed to qualify. GB will win gold but who finishes 2nd-8th is anyone’s guess. Ireland were 5th in the only World Cup race they entered this season.
Women’s pair – Aifric Keogh, Fiona Murtagh
Medal winners in the fours in Tokyo, the Galway pair have competed in the pair for the past two years. They were 4th at last year’s world championship. 3rd in Word Cup II this season, followed by second in WC III. The only boats ahead of them this year have been Australia and Netherlands and they were the top 2 in 2023 too. So, can they improve one spot to get a medal in Paris? They might. The bronze medal winners last year were Romania, but they’ve split the pair up and the new pair hasn’t raced this season. Keogh & Murtagh should make the final and may be in contention for the bronze.
Men’s pair – Ross Corrigan, Nathan Timoney
The men from Fermanagh won bronze at last year’s world championship in their first year as a pair and it looked like they’d kick on in 2024. Instead, they haven’t raced together once through illness and injury. We know they’re championship performers but it would seem a big ask for them to challenge for medals in an event that has added the returning Olympic champions to the field after they entered a different event for 2023.
Women’s double sculls – Zoe Hyde, Alison Bergin
4th last year in the world championships, they have, as with most of the team, suffered several injury and illness set backs in 2024. They were fourth at their only World Cup event this year after winning their heat and their semi. If they can produce their best, they can medal but the question marks around their fitness don’t inspire too much confidence.
Men’s double sculls – Philip Doyle, Daire Lynch
Philip Doyle is a two-time world championship medallist with the latest being last year with Daire Lynch. Guess what happened this year? More illness and injury. Every single Irish boat has been affected in 2024. They did win their only outing of the season in World Cup III but no other medal contenders were present so we’re guessing how their form is. Netherlands are firm favourites for gold, but Doyle and Lynch can medal if they’re fit and healthy. World Rowing has made them the second seeds.
Women’s four – Emily Hegarty, Eimear Lambe, Natalie Long, Imogen Magner
This boat has undergone significant changes since winning bronze in Tokyo with only Hegarty and Lambe returning. Hegarty missed all of last year too. They had one goal this year and that was to win qualification at the last chance regatta, and they did so in style. A final is achievable for this group, with the medals likely to elude them.
Rugby Sevens
Men’s tournament
Women’s tournament
After a stellar 22/23 season which saw them qualify at the first attempt, 23/24 was mostly a let down for the Irish team. It did include a first ever SVNS series win in Perth which saw them beat medal favourites Australia twice. They’ll face Australia in the groups again but even a second placed finished (ahead of GB and South Africa) would see them into a quarter final against the runner up from the France/USA group. Compared to the men, it’s a very fair path to a medal. They’ll need to significantly improve on their recent performances to do so though,
Sailing
ILCA 6 - Eve McMahon
The former laser radial class which saw Annalise Murphy win a medal in Rio is the home for Ireland’s brightest sailing prospect. This Olympics may be too soon for Eve McMahon but it should help her on the road to LA 28 and Brisbane 32. She was 20th at this years world championships
ILCA 7 - Finn Lynch
Lynch qualified as the 16th boat in last year’s worlds and he’s back for his second Olympics after being in Rio but missing out in Tokyo. He rebounded from that disappointment by winning silver at the world championships in 2021 but that result is by far the best over his career. Success for Finn might be making the top ten and the medal race.
49er – Robert Dickson, Sean Waddilove
Like McMahon, the 49er pair are former underage world champions but they haven’t really kicked on at the senior level. In Tokyo, they won two of the twelve preliminary races – a feat none of the medal winners could match – but with 2 disqualifications and other poor results, they didn’t make the top 10. They could catch fire and end up on the podium, but so far in their careers they haven’t shown enough consistency to challenge the world’s best.
Swimming
800m, 1,500m freestyle, 10km open water– Daniel Wiffen
Wiffen is the current world champion in both events, but the 2024 edition didn’t feature most of the 2023 stars as they looked to focus on the Olympics. Wiffen’s 800m winning time was slower than the time he swam for 4th in 2023. Luckily for Wiffen, the 800m winner from 2023 – Tunisia’s Ahmed Hafnaoui – has to miss the Olympic through injury. It’s still a packed field though with Australia’s Sam Short and the USA’s Bobby Finke (Olympic champion) both expected to challenge for gold. Wiffen’s 2023 time ranks him 3rd in the field, and he’s the fastest time in the world this year so he’s clearly a strong medal contender. It might be a sprint to the line between all 3 for the podium.
Finke’s primary event is presumed to be the 1,500m where he again is Olympic champion and was just 5/100ths of a second of gold in the 2023 world championships. Wiffen’s 2024 WC gold time puts him 2nd fastest over the last two years though, ahead of both Short and former world champion Florian Wellbrock of Germany. Short will have a busy week in Paris and the 1,500m comes after his preferred 400m and 800m events. Wiffen will see this as his best chance of gold, but he may need to break the old world record just to win a medal here.
As for the open water swimming? There is no guide there at all. Wiffen has never competed in marathon swimming before. A lot of 1,500m champions have done well in open waters, but let's see him do one race before we predict anything here.
50m freestyle – Tom Fannon
Fannon’s decision to transfer from GB last year pays off as he makes his first Olympics, but he’s unlikely to progress. Shane Ryan went quicker but not in a designated event so he’s only swimming the relay for Ireland.
100m, 200m breaststroke – Mona McSharry
McSharry made the final of the 100m breaststroke in Tokyo and has finished 5th at the last two world championships. She hasn’t raced much this year but did significantly lower her 200m time. She won’t be expected to win a medal, but she should make at least one final and probably two this time.
50m free, 100m back – Danielle Hill
Ireland’s fastest female swimmer has had a terrific year including winning European gold at the non-Olympic 50m back. She’ll hope to make the semi finals here and could even sneak into final contention if everything goes her way.
100m fly, 200m IM, 400 IM – Ellen Walshe
3 individual events for Walshe. The 400m IM is just semis and final and she’s unlikely to make the final there. Heats and semis in the other events and she’ll hope to make the semis in the 200 IM in particular.
4 x 100 m relays – Men’s & women’s medley, women’s freestyle
Ireland qualifying for three relays is spectacular. It allows us to bring the biggest ever aquatics team to an Olympics. For most of the swimmers involved it’ll be their only involvement in the 2024 Games. The women’s medley relay will likely fare best, but national records will be our hope rather than progression.
Taekwondo
58kg – Jack Woolley
Woolley is 7th seed in Paris, and it’s a sport where any result is possible. He’ll face Magomedov of Azerbaijan who qualified due to his results in the top level Grand Slam Series so it’s a tough start. If he can get by him, he’s set to face the number two seed and the reigning champion Dell'Aquila from Italy – a man he hasn’t beaten before. If, for example, Dell'Aquila beats Woolley and makes the final, Wooley would enter the repechage tournament with a chance to win bronze. Taekwondo is a sport where upsets can happen, but Woolley would need the tournament of his life to get into the medals here.
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So there you go. A preview of every Irish competitor at the 2024 Olympic Games in Paris. There’s been plenty of talk of this being Ireland’s most successful ever Olympics but as you can see from the previews, any medal win will be hard earned! As is now tradition, here’s the top 20 most likely medal winners from Ireland.
- Rowing - Men’s Lightweight Double – O’Donovan & McCarthy
- Gymnastics – Pommel Horse – Rhys McClenaghan
- Boxing – 60kg – Kellie Harrington
- Swimming – 1,500m freestyle – Daniel Wiffen
- Showjumping – Team and Individuals – Coyle, Sweetnam & O’Connor
- Boxing – 75kg – Aoife O’Rourke
- Swimming – 800m freestyle – Daniel Wiffen
- Athletics – 400m – Rhasidat Adeleke
- Rowing – Men’s Double Sculls – Lynch & Doyle
- Boxing - 66kg - Grainne Walsh
- Rowing – Women’s Pair – Keogh & Murtagh
- Boxing – 50kg – Daina Moorhouse
- Golf – Men’s and Women’s – McIlroy, Lowry, Maguire & Meadows
- Boxing – 57kg – Jude Gallagher
- Cycling – Omnium – Lara Gillespie
- Rowing – Women’s Double Sculls – Hyde & Bergin
- Boxing - 92kg - Jack Marley
- Athletics – Mixed 4x400m relay – TBC
- Cycling – Men’s road race – Ben Healy
- Sailing - 49er (skiff) - Dickson & Waddilove
The really exciting thing is that people outside that 20 consider themselves medal contenders too. We'll keep you up to speed throughout the Games!
