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Permutations: The Promotion And Relegation Scenario Ahead Of Final Round Of League

Permutations: The Promotion And Relegation Scenario Ahead Of Final Round Of League
Niall McIntyre
By Niall McIntyre Updated
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It's all set up for a nail-biting finish to the National football league this weekend with the final round of fixtures taking place across all four divisions.

TG4 are showing every game live from Division One or Two, whether it's across their television, player or Youtube platforms, giving the competition a big publicity boost ahead of what's sure to be a Super Sunday.

There's loads to play for in every division.

Five teams can reach the Division One final while, along with Derry who are already relegated, four teams could possibly still go down depending on how it all swings on Sunday, including Kerry despite their win over Armagh last weekend.

We'll take you through the permutations ahead of the closing round.

Division One

Mayo, Donegal, Dublin, Galway and Kerry could all possibly finish in the top two and make it to the league decider.

Beat Kerry in Salthill and Galway (+17) are all but guaranteed a place in the league final because of their score difference.

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If Dublin (+8) beat Tyrone in Omagh then they will more than likely be in the decider too, given that their score difference is four points better than Donegal, who play Mayo in Castlebar.

Mayo (-3) themselves can reach the final if they beat Donegal and either Galway or Dublin fail to win. The same goes for Kerry (+11) if they beat Galway by more than three points, with Tyrone beating Dublin and Mayo beating Donegal.

But Kerry will be relegated if they lose to Galway with Tyrone beating Dublin and Armagh beating Derry. Incredibly, Mayo could also be dragged into relegation by losing to Donegal, with Kerry failing to win and Tyrone and Armagh winning.

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A draw with Galway would more than likely be enough for Kerry, even if Tyrone and Armagh won, because of the Kingdom's superior score difference. If Tyrone and Armagh are tied in seventh, then Tyrone go down on head-to-head.

Division Two

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Because of their score difference, Monaghan (+33) are as good as guaranteed of promotion and a place in the Division Two final, even if they lose to Down this weekend.

The only way Roscommon (+19) can finish in the top two is if they beat Westmeath and Down beat Monaghan, bringing score difference into play. Because Cavan (-4) and Meath (+10), who they are level on points with, are worse off than them on that metric but have them on head-to-head.

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Beat Louth in Inniskeen and Meath will more than likely go up but if they fail to do so and Cavan beat Cork, then Cavan will go up along with Monaghan.

At the other end, Westmeath are already relegated and Tailteann Cup bound for the summer. Louth have head-to-head advantage on Down, with both sides on four points.

If they both win, then Cork could be dragged into the relegation reckoning though their score difference may just save them in that instance, because they are ten better off than Louth.

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Division Three

The only way Offaly won't go up is if they lose to Clare by more than 11 points in Ennis this weekend, with Kildare defeating Antrim.

If Offaly lose then Kildare are in pole position to go up if they beat Antrim, because of the Lilywhites' score difference advantage.

The long shot of Antrim beating Kildare, Offaly beating Clare and beating Laois themselves would see Fermanagh up to Division Two.

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Antrim look destined for the drop at the other end unless they beat Kildare and Leitrim beat Sligo.

Division Four

Wexford are already promoted.

Limerick will join them if they defeat Waterford in Rathkeale but if they lose, then Wicklow can go up so long as they beat Tipp in Thurles.

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All told, it means that on top of the teams who are already relegated (Derry, Westmeath, Leitrim), nine more could potentially go down after a certain series of results. They are Mayo, Kerry, Armagh and Tyrone in Division One. Louth, Cork and Down in Division two. Antrim and Sligo in Division Three.

Read More: David Coldrick Felt "Very Let Down" By GAA After Failed Fitness Test Fiasco

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