After successfully tipping a 9/2 winner amongst others last week, @marcasbrennan returns to give us an insight into where some of our hard earned shillings should be going this weekend in the NFL.
Green Bay Packers, Kansas City Chiefs & Baltimore Ravens all to win @ Evens
It will be a huge surprise to not see all three of these teams gain a win on home soil. Yes, they have tricky match ups but there is no doubt they are considerably better than their opponents and are extremely hard to beat in their own backyard. Aaron Rodgers is on a different planet when playing in Lambeau Field and should lead his team to victory over the Rams with ease.
The Ravens have been hugely disappointing but will have gained confidence from their recent win in Pittsburgh and although it is a divisional game, which tends to be close, there is a huge gap in talent between players of both teams here.
Finally, the Chiefs are way better than their losing record suggests having played against some of the best teams so far. They are a different prospect playing at Arrowhead and will ease past a Bears team who have yet to find any consistency whatsoever to date. A banker to start this week's tips.
Jamaal Charles to score the first Kansas City touchdown @ 7/2
Last week we nailed this bet with Chris Ivory nabbing the opening Jets score and it's worth sticking with the running backs as Jamaal Charles looks decent odds at 7/2 to cross the plain for his beloved Chiefs. Charles is the number one runner for the hosts and also leads the way in touchdowns scored with four in total. Coupled with that is the fact that Alex Smith struggles to find his receivers in the end zone, which leaves head coach Andy Reid with very little options but to hand the rock to his running back.
Carson Palmer over 278.5 passing yards @ 5/6
In three of the four games played to date Palmer has eclipsed 300 passing yards with the other match being an easy win over the Bears where he didn't need to throw as much. Tonight's clash is
different as the Lions will test the Cardinals and if Arizona is to win they will need Palmer to be at his best. Many believe Detroit will finally get the win and with this is mind I expect a high scoring game which plays into the hands of the Cardinals QB having another 300+ yard outing.
Mike Evans over 65.5 receiving yards @ 10/11
Tampa Bay welcome the Jaguars to Raymond James stadium and this means the Buccaneers wideouts could be in for a solid statistical outing. Yes, the Jaguars secondary have played well to date but they have yet to face a duo like Evans and Vincent Jackson and I fancy the former to be the one to cause problems tonight. The third year pro has a big body that is hard to defend and two games ago he was targeted on ten occasions by rookie QB Jameis Winston. Drops cost him on that occasion and If he can eradicate that problem he will definitely post numbers tonight.
Doug Baldwin over 49.5 receiving yards @ 5/6
Doug Baldwin came up trumps for us two weeks ago and we are going back to the Seattle wideout as he should surpass the above mark against the Bengals. In tight games on the road where the Seahawks are competitive, Baldwin becomes Russell Wilson's number one target. 14 of his 20 catches have come away from home in tough circumstances against St. Louis and Green Bay. It is clear Baldwin is Wilson's safety blanket in difficult environments and he will look to his number one target tonight for help when they face the daunting trip to Cincinnati.
Kirk Cousins over 250.5 passing yards @ 10/11
A lot of you will be put off by the option of putting your faith in a certain Kirk Cousins but he has played better than many might have anticipated, plus he is in a game where he will definitely be forced to throw more balls than expected. The Falcons are a team who love to score heavy and often with the likes of Matt Ryan and Julio Jones causing incredible miss-matches. But they also have a weak pass defence and have given up the third most yards to opposing quarterbacks. A high scoring game plays into the hands of Cousins who is looking for 250 plus passing yards for the third game in succession.
